Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 1.092613 1.304092 1.526109 1.774955 2.044570 2.326482 2.642181
2025-01-12 0.760125 1.047414 1.370663 1.754064 2.189904 2.664320 3.214443
2025-01-19 0.639490 0.972427 1.364335 1.845192 2.406711 3.031071 3.767926
2025-01-26 0.554633 0.924188 1.377078 1.948800 2.630983 3.402113 4.324328
2025-02-02 0.496870 0.897672 1.406021 2.062715 2.859592 3.771713 4.873343
2025-02-09 0.457525 0.888352 1.451224 2.192342 3.103898 4.157585 5.439919
2025-02-16 0.404290 0.851709 1.455582 2.266789 3.278456 4.459463 5.907624
2025-02-23 0.341335 0.792008 1.423283 2.290057 3.386993 4.680743 6.279446
2025-03-02 0.257495 0.687200 1.320752 2.215838 3.369745 4.747995 6.467130
2025-03-09 0.184874 0.585946 1.213286 2.127256 3.328272 4.781190 6.610338
2025-03-16 0.136411 0.515590 1.143109 2.082682 3.337745 4.872310 6.819031
2025-03-23 0.110205 0.481881 1.124481 2.106051 3.432525 5.066463 7.150125
2025-03-30 0.082222 0.439335 1.092385 2.114342 3.514401 5.253830 7.485346
2025-04-06 0.053617 0.383953 1.034538 2.083345 3.543691 5.376218 7.743407
2025-04-13 0.047340 0.384933 1.069732 2.186096 3.749778 5.719060 8.269176
2025-04-20 0.042894 0.389971 1.111613 2.298764 3.969548 6.079763 8.817721
2025-04-27 0.040225 0.399799 1.161713 2.423659 4.206000 6.461883 9.393045
2025-05-04 0.039433 0.415689 1.222675 2.565010 4.465088 6.873166 10.004876
2025-05-11 0.033040 0.409647 1.243594 2.646140 4.642679 7.181490 10.490678
2025-05-18 0.023200 0.384761 1.228238 2.671453 4.743773 7.392410 10.856561
2025-05-25 0.009835 0.326876 1.145587 2.590642 4.697362 7.413749 10.987316
2025-06-01 0.002098 0.269813 1.056195 2.494052 4.625334 7.399362 11.071344
2025-06-08 0.000073 0.232038 0.999790 2.445393 4.616787 7.463980 11.250908